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“We expect non-sports categories such as economics, politics, crypto, and entertainment to gain share over time,” says the analyst.
Prediction market operators are on legal losing streaks, confirming that Beynon is onto something when he says the regulatory environment is the biggest risk facing the industry.
“We continue to view regulation as the largest risk to prediction markets,” says the analyst. “While industry growth remains robust, adverse legal outcomes could materially impact sports contract availability and long-term adoption.”
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However, until very recently the report was kept confidential by Evolution, as it contained commercially sensitive material, the supplier said.
But this week the 2022 report was released in full by the court. Playtech, for its part, has celebrated a number of findings in the document, which it says supports and corroborates findings from Black Cube.
Notably, the Spectrum report does acknowledge that Evolution did not knowingly allow games in prohibited territories, however, it has also flagged a number of compliance issues, which resulted in its games being provided in markets where online gambling is, or has been, prohibited.
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During immersive play, however, they wanted operators to take a more active role, through mechanisms such as pop-ups and reality checks.
After play, some looked to banks or regulatory bodies for oversight on total spend across platforms.
Within this shared model, there was a clear preference for personalised interventions over generic ones.